Most people who are even slightly
technology-aware have heard of Google Glass, the wearable head-mounted display
device that Google introduced almost two years ago amid a blizzard of
publicity. Priced at $1500, Google
Glass was never intended to be a mass-market product. As of tomorrow, Google Glasses will become collector's
items, because the company announced last week that the product will no longer
be available. According to Will
Oremus at Slate.com, the press release announcing the news tried to put a
positive spin on the situation with phrases like "moving even more from
concept to reality." So the
idea of a wearable camera/monitor isn't dead—just the particular embodiment of
it in Google Glass.
I could have told them this
was coming, because about a month ago, I finally got to try out a pair. A student of mine had borrowed some
from a friend of his in Austin, and was walking around campus letting all and
sundry try them on. I wear
ordinary glasses, so the fit was somewhat of a problem. But I managed to see the little
display, and then the battery ran down, so my experience was very limited. Nevertheless, it was enough for the
Stephan Kiss of Technological Death to take place.
More times than I can count,
I have tried out a new technology just before it's about to disappear. We bought a VHS player right after DVDs
came out. We got a DVD player about
the time BluRay came out. I bought
a cellphone with a color screen about the time the iPhone came out. Well, you get the idea. In any market, there are early
adopters, then the great mass of people who buy a thing after the early
adopters have worked the bugs out, and then late adopters like me who come
along after everybody else has dropped a product for the next hot item.
Why wasn't Google Glass more
successful? From a late-adopter point
of view, I can tell you one reason:
it didn't promise to do anything for me that was worth $1500 of my
money. From the start, I got the
sense that a lot of the people buying them were doing it for the same reason
that they bought Rolex watches. A
Rolex doesn't keep time any better than a Timex. But a Rolex tells other people you are the kind of person
who can afford a Rolex. So Google
Glass became a fashion brand for the folks who just couldn't wait to show up at
the office wearing another expensive personal item. I'm a little surprised that nobody came up with an imitation
knockoff Google Glass that looked the same as the real thing but wasn't
functional, priced at $99.99. Only
it would have been embarrassing for people to come up to you and ask to try
them out, and you'd have to tell them sorry, the battery just ran down.
Probably the most useful
feature of Google Glass was also the most controversial: the little camera that could record
your environment without anyone knowing for sure whether you're recording or
not. Spy cameras have been around
for some time, but if they're designed and placed right, nobody knows about
them except for the operator. You
see a Google Glass on someone and right away, you knew they could be recording
you. It was a little bit like
walking around with a 35-mm camera in front of your face all the time. No wonder some people got annoyed. Nevertheless, Oremus reports that the
most serious business customers of the technology used the camera feature to capture
things like pictures of sides of beef for FDA inspectors, and whether Dr.
Whozis left any forceps inside his last gall-bladder-surgery patient. So it's likely that face-mounted
cameras in some form will show up in places where the product or service is
pricey enough to justify the expense of whatever comes after Google Glass.
No one can currently beat
Google at what they do best, but designing hardware for personal use is very
different from the massive Internet-based data crunching that got Google where
it is today. Technology geeks in
particular tend to be blind to some issues that the general public care about
deeply. When Henry Ford first
marketed his Model T, he later recalled that he said in 1909, "Any
customer can have a car painted any color that he wants so long as it is
black." And for many years,
Ford beat his competition on price and performance with all-black cars. But as automobiles became more of a
commodity, other makers found that they could attract customers away from Ford
by offering a variety of paint colors, and Ford eventually had to follow
suit.
Engineer and author Henry
Petroski likes to say that failure is often more instructive than success. By failure, he usually means things
like collapsing bridges, but the failure of a new technology to meet its sales
target is still a failure, though of a different and less hazardous kind than
the failure of a bridge or a building.
In a free market, market failures are inevitable, and it's not like
everybody at Google is now out on the street because they can't sell any more
glasses. In general, wearable
technology seems to be the wave of the future in some form, and it's just a
question of what form it will take.
I think Google took on a
major challenge by messing around with a person's face. The face, and particularly the eyes,
are where we look first when we meet another person. We have had a few hundred years to get used to the idea of people
wearing ordinary glasses. They
started out as expensive specialty items too. A graphic on the Fashionisto website says that in the U. S.
of the 1700s, a pair of eyeglasses could set you back about $200, which is like
about $6,000 today. So regardless
of who comes up with the next version of Google Glass technology, they face an
uphill battle in getting us used to the idea of having some active technology
in the line of sight between soul and soul.
Sources: The article "Google Glass Is Finally Dead. Ish." by Will Oremus appeared on
Slate's website at http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2015/01/15/google_glass_dead_or_alive_nest_s_tony_fadell_takes_over.html
. The Fashionisto spectacle graphic can be found at http://www.thefashionisto.com/history-eyeglasses-timeline/. I referred to the Wikipedia articles on
Google Glass, and the Henry Ford quote can be found at http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Henry_Ford.
This post made me laugh out loud, I am also a very late adopter, and not a fan of buying showy items just to demonstrate that I have money to waste!
ReplyDelete